Forget Face Masks, Take Some Vitamin D

Evidence That COVID-19 Risk and Severity Is Increased in Vitamin D Deficiency Frontiers in Public Health

Early researchers reported three striking patterns. Firstly, the innate immune system is impaired by vitamin D deficiency, which would predispose sufferers to viral infections such as COVID-19. Vitamin D deficiency also increases the activity of the X-chromosome-linked “Renin-Angiotensin” System, making vitamin D deficient individuals (especially men) more susceptible to COVID-19's deadly “cytokine storm” (dramatic immune system overreaction). Secondly, the groups who are at highest risk for severe COVID-19 match those who are at highest risk for severe vitamin D deficiency. This includes the elderly, men, ethnic groups whose skin is naturally rich in melanin (if living outside the tropics), those who avoid sun exposure for cultural and health reasons, those who live in institutions, the obese, and/or those who suffer with hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or diabetes. And thirdly, the pattern of geographical spread of COVID-19 reflects higher population vitamin D deficiency. Both within the USA and throughout the world, COVID-19 fatality rates parallel vitamin D deficiency rates.

Low vitamin D status associated with 1.77-fold higher risk of Covid19 infection JAMA Network

Low vitamin D status associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and mortality in the Indian population International Immunopharmacology

True, correlation does not prove causation. However, a study from Spain leaves little room for doubt that vitamin D enhances resistance to Covid 19. Of 50 patients treated with vitamin D, aka calcifediol, only two required intensive care, whereas 50% of matched but untreated patients required intensive care.

All hospitalized patients received as best available therapy the same standard care, (per hospital protocol) ... Eligible patients were allocated at a 2 calcifediol:1 no calcifediol ratio through electronic randomization on the day of admission to take oral calcifediol (0.532 mg), or not. Patients in the calcifediol treatment group continued with oral calcifediol (0.266 mg) on day 3 and 7, and then weekly until discharge or ICU admission. Results Of 50 patients treated with calcifediol, only one (2%) required admission to the ICU, whereas of 26 untreated patients, 13 (50%) required admission p value X2 Fischer test p < 0.001. Source: Effect of calcifediol treatment and best available therapy versus best available therapy on intensive care unit admission and mortality among patients hospitalized for COVID-19: A pilot randomized clinical study PubMedCentral

Related:

ZH:
Top UK Scientists Warn "Many, Or All" COVID-19 Vaccine Projects Could Fail, First Gen "Likely To Be Imperfect"

DM:

Councillor claims Covid is 'a fake virus'

Dumb Harry: Who Will Rid Us of This Idiot Prince?

By Brendan O'Neill

The Spectator.co.uk, October 28, 2020: Prince Harry has seen the light. His awokening is complete. Yesterday, in a video chat hosted by GQ magazine, he confessed to the sin of ‘unconscious bias’ and instructed the rest of us — the unwoke throng — to ‘educate yourself’. And there you have it: this duke, sixth in line to the British throne, is now indistinguishable from those irritating campus activists who scream ‘EDUCATE YOURSELF’ at anyone who has the temerity to demur from their worldview.

Harry was having a chat with Patrick Hutchinson, the personal trainer who was photographed carrying a counter-protester to safety during clashes with BLM activists over the summer. Harry trotted out all the woke lines. ‘Ignorance is no longer an excuse’, he said, no doubt to those still in denial about the unwitting hatred that lurks in their hearts (that’s essentially what ‘unconscious bias’ means).
I really don’t think the Duke of Sussex should be pushing divisive ideas like ‘unconscious bias’

He praised this year’s BLM protests as a ‘global movement’, like an unstoppable ‘train’, and everyone must ‘get on it’, he said. That’s easy for him to say from his swanky pad in Santa Barbara. What about the black and white working-class communities in other parts of the US whose businesses and livelihoods were destroyed by the excesses of this ‘global movement’? They might wish that this train, which involved riots, the destruction of monuments, and confrontations with diners who refused to raise their fists, would slow down a little, or maybe even come to a halt.

But it was his use of the line ‘educate yourself’ that most clearly illustrated Harry’s capture by the cult of woke. That is the most common cry of the self-elected guardians of correct-think. And don’t be fooled by their use of the term education, which of course is a good thing. They don’t mean ‘educate’ in the sense of going off to read some books and talk to people and make up your mind on an issue. No, they mean ‘get with our programme’. ‘Educate yourself’ is a demand for conformity. Really it means re-educate yourself; submerge yourself in the ways of identity politics.

That’s why Harry’s train metaphor was so revealing, too. ‘The train has left the station, and if you’re not on it now, then get on it’, he said. Leaving to one side the question of how you're supposed to get on a train that has already left, the most important part of this metaphor is its one-way nature. Trains go in one direction only. They can’t be steered somewhere else. What Harry is essentially saying is that there is only one correct way to think about issues like BLM, unconscious bias and identity politics, and if you think a different way… well, you’ll be left behind.

It was hard not to hear his wife Meghan’s voice. Did she write this script, I found myself wondering? Indeed, Harry credits his arrival in the station of correct thought to his experiences with his Meghan. He said he spent ‘many, many years’ unaware that unconscious bias even existed, but his awareness was raised by ‘living a day or a week in my wife’s shoes’. So she gave him his Damascene conversion? She turned him from the bad old Saul who wore Nazi outfits to fancy-dress parties into the Paul of wokeness, a proselytiser for political correctness?

What is striking about this is that Harry, like other royals, has worked with charities and good causes for a long time. But apparently he didn’t become properly socially aware until he spent a day or two in the company of a very wealthy celebrity from Hollywood. There’s an implicit insult in this. Apparently schools, institutions and charities in the UK failed to prise open Harry’s eyes to the problems of the world, but magic Meghan did it in a matter of weeks. Thank God for virtuous celebs, eh?

I really don’t think the Duke of Sussex should be pushing divisive ideas like ‘unconscious bias’. This identitarian ideology, which suggests that most people are racist, even if they don’t realise it, has nothing in common with the old noble cause of anti-racism. Those old struggles were about securing equality for people regardless of their racial backgrounds, whereas today’s BLM outlook encourages division. This obsession with white privilege and black victimhood; the idea that people’s hidden hatreds must be teased out, that must be corrected by a new army of therapeutic race-relations experts; it is all a recipe for suspicion and tension. Harry, get off that train.

Scared of Covid19: Here's the Risk It'll Kill Ya

 The CDC reports that, in America, the age-dependent infection fatality rates for Covid19 are:

Age             Risk of death

0    - 19       0.00003 or one in 33,333
20  - 49       0.0002, or one in 5,000
50  - 69       0.005, or one in 200
70 +            0.06, or one in 18

Or looking at that in a more positive way, Covid19 survival rates are:

Age                  Survival rate

0   - 19 Years    99.997%
20 - 49 Years    99.98%
50 - 69 Years    99.5%
70 - 80 Years    94.6%

And that's if you're infected. But thus far, probably no more than about one in ten of the world's population has been infected, so if effective vaccines materialize, you'll likely never be infected. 

And for comparison, here are all ages risk of death due to some other causes:

Cancer:                          one in     562

heart disease:                 one in     520

Respiratory disease:      one in    2104

Motor vehicle accident: one in   5243

Source

So what those numbers show is that it would make as much sense to shutter much of the economy to protect under-50's from motor vehicle accidents as to protect them from covid-19. Yet no one in the right mind would suggest doing anything so idiotic. So why do we do something so idiotic because of Covid19? Explanations invited.

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over 80% of COVID-19 patients have vitamin D deficiency

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anti-lockdown protests sweeps across Europe

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Mark Jeftovic: 

Follow The Science - 1.2 Million COVID Deaths Edition

Aspirin cuts deaths of hospitalized Covid19 patients by 47%

Which reminds one of the old Bayer aspirin ad.: "How Most Canadians Handle a Cold."

Former top UK judge: coronavirus curbs tyrannical infringement of democratic rights

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Michael Story and Bruce Ritchie:

How the experts messed up on Covid

Craig Murray: 

Covid-19 and the Political Utility of Fear

Dr. Bruce Scott:

The Cult of the Brave New Normal

When Treason Prospers: Why Prince Charles Should Not Be Canada's Future King

For obsessive compulsives who combine ignorance with emotionality, the fixation on Covid19 avoidance is a hysterical response to irrational fear. But for most, the fixation on avoidance is simply the consequence of media brainwashing to create what Prince Charles has described as:

a unique but rapidly shrinking window of opportunity to ... set ourselves on a more sustainable course.

And what is this more sustainable course? What we're getting obviously: a shutdown (mainly permanent) of most of the small business sector of the economy to further enrich the globalist money power, while driving real wages down as central banks print trillions in new currency to destroy the wealth of savers and bond holders.

And, no doubt as a further plus in the elite view, this engineered crisis has depressed the already below-replacement birth rate of the developed nations.

Herd immunity is the only proper public policy goal. By vaccination, certainly, if and when a vaccine becomes available, but in the meantime, through the natural process of acquired immunity following infection by a virus with a kill rate little if any greater than that of the seasonal flu for all but the elderly and a few others who have the option to self-isolate.

To pursue the alternative of indefinite avoidance at the expense of the economy, of childrens' education, and the many other ill consequences of lockdowns is treason.

Related:

Matthew Ehret: 
What the Great Reset Architects Don’t Want You To Understand About Economics

Paul Joseph Watson: 
Sweden Refuses To Impose New Lockdown Measures, Saying People Have Suffered Enough

Race Hatred, Immigration and Democracy in America Today

America is increasingly torn by racial strife, with the white majority now openly targeted by colored racists and their white Communist and liberal (is there a difference?) advocates, who see mass illegal immigration of colored people as a means to put paid to white domination. This wave of colored racism now dominates the American political landscape and the current Presidential election contest. 

The reaction of most white Americans, particularly among the working class, is naturally, tit-for-tat anti-colored racism. This, however, is to fall into a trap laid by their anti-white racist antagonists, who then have proof that all whites are contemptible racists.

What low-fertility white Americans, concerned about their race being swamped out by colored immigrants, need to focus on, is not the racial conflict, which is contrary to the spirit of a nation founded on the principal that "all men are created equal," but rather on the nation's right, as recognized in Chapter 1 of the United Nations Charter, to self-determination.

Under the American doctrine of the equality of men, any person becoming an American citizen, becomes a member of the American nation— the nation being a race in the process of creation through the free association and intermarriage of its citizens. 

But under the UN doctrine of the "principle of equal rights and self-determination of peoples" Americans, whatever the color of their skin, have every right to oppose the immigration of people from elsewhere. 

For most Americans, whatever the color of their skin, immigration is not in their interest unless they are adherents of a racist ideology that seeks to change the racial balance of the population. 

Immigration is bad for most Americans because immigrants compete with the existing American citizenry for jobs and housing, thereby driving down wages and raising the cost of living. Immigrants also increase the need for infrastructure paid for not by immigrants but by taxes on all Americans. Not least important, immigrants when concentrated in large numbers as in California, for example, resist integration, acting rather as settlers intent on preserving their own religious, racial and cultural identity in their country of adoption. 

Beside those seeking non-white racial and cultural hegemony in America, the chief beneficiary of mass immigration to America is the corporate interest that seeks to reduce the cost of American labor to the Third World level. These are the people who hypocritically advocated ridiculously high minimum wage rates that make low-skilled American workers unemployable, while driving mass illegal immigration of people who will work in the black economy at below minimum wages. 

At the same time that business interests seek to impoverish the American working class through mass illegal immigration, technology-based companies seek to expand the H1b visa program to suck in cheap brain-power to undercut American-trained programmers and engineers. As a result, bright Americans who made the effort to master hard subjects find the return on their effort diminished as they are sidelined by immigrant competition. (And remember the best and the brightest in India and China and Korea, and Hong Kong and Taiwan, can all get brilliant jobs with high status in their own countries. It is, for the most part, the second raters from abroad that companies like Boeing have employed with, as we now see, sometimes disastrous results). 

And as mastery of technology rewards American citizens less and less well, the schools that train scientists and engineers inevitably suffer a decline in the quality of teaching staff and the ability of students, smart kids turning to other areas of endeavor. H1b visa immigration, in other words, spells American technological decline. 

All Americans, therefore, should think very carefully about immigration, whether it serves their interest as citizens of a nation with the UN-endorsed right of self-determination, including the right to have borders, to police those borders and to decide who may cross those borders. 

FaceBook/Twitter Dirty Tricks Control Your Access to Information

 No matter how much you dislike Trump, only a fool can fail to see the implications for public access to information of the massive suppression on the internet of the Hunter Biden leaks.

This blog has been suffering a ratcheting of social media suppression for years, which reached its apogee in my coverage of the Julian Assange trial. As I reported on 24 September:

Even my blog has never been so systematically subject to shadowbanning from Twitter and Facebook as now. Normally about 50% of my blog readers arrive from Twitter and 40% from Facebook. During the trial it has been 3% from Twitter and 9% from Facebook. That is a fall from 90% to 12%. In the February hearings Facebook and Twitter were between them sending me over 200,000 readers a day. Now they are between them sending me 3,000 readers a day. To be plain that is very much less than my normal daily traffic from them just in ordinary times. It is the insidious nature of this censorship that is especially sinister – people believe they have successfully shared my articles on Twitter and Facebook, while those corporations hide from them that in fact it went into nobody’s timeline. My own family have not been getting their notifications of my posts on either platform.

It was not just me: everyone reporting the Assange trial on social media suffered the same effect. Wikileaks, which has 5.6 million Twitter followers, were obtaining about the same number of Twitter “impressions” of their tweets (ie number who saw them) as I was. I spoke with several of the major US independent news sites and they all reported the same.

Read More

Related:

Dr. Scott Atlas: Special Adviser to the President of the United States Explains Why Corona Virus Lockdowns Do Much Greater Harm than Good

Related:

ZH: 

Economy-Crushing COVID-19 Lockdowns Contributed To 100,000 US Deaths, CDC Suggests

Why Globalists Hate Calls for Covid Herd Immunity

Covid19, says Prince Charles, "provides the unique but rapidly shrinking window of opportunity to reset ourselves on a more sustainable path," which is to say an opportunity for the "Great Reset," meaning the great lowering of the standard of living for all but the elite who yearn to enjoy a world unpolluted by the teaming masses, the hoy polloy. Yes, dear reader, it is you Prince Chuckie and his Davos friends are gunning for.

And down that "more sustainable path" of a much lower standard of living for you, is where we are headed.

For now you will be cushioned from the fall in standard of living by stupendous monetary inflation, cash bailouts for all. But when the ballooning money supply -- yes money is just digits and can be inflated without limit -- and the fall in output in goods and services touches off an accelerating rise in prices, then watch out.

There will be an explosion in demand as people seek to rid themselves of currency of rapidly diminishing value. The result will be shortages and panic. As in Germany's great 1923 inflation, folks will be forced to trade the grand piano or the second car, the only car, even a child, for a basket of groceries. In no time, most folks will be entirely cleaned out: no money, no food, desperate.

Wages can then be adjusted: down.

"A Truly Orwellian Culture"
- Amazon Removes COVID
Skeptic's Book For Violating
 Content Guidelines. Source

Maybe, as during Germany's 1923 inflation, the corporate behemoths, the FAANG stock companies and other big boys that survive the great downsizing, will pay wages in their own currency. Amazon, for example, might pay its workers in Amazons, each redeemable by Amazon for one US dollar. 

Why? did you ask? 

Because when shortages are growing and the supply of money is exploding, the value of the US dollar will fall so fast that between the time Amazon issues its currency and the time those who have sold goods for Amazons receive dollars in return for the Amazons, the US dollar will be worth no more than four-fifths of flip all. At that point, wages will be at the level that Bezos and Zucks are happy with, which is to say next to nothing.

That's the great, but "rapidly shrinking window of opportunity" that the globalist traitor, Prince Chuckie, is working to push you out of.

What's the alternative. Herd immunity, achieved by ending the the shutdown of the Western economies now. The result? Kids, university students, and other young adults, the most socially active element in the population will mostly get Covid19, survive it and acquire immunity. Then the incidence of the disease will collapse due to a shortage of susceptible individuals. The disease will remain in circulation but at a low level. Older people or people otherwise susceptible to serious complications from the corona virus will then be comparatively free to engage in normal social activity as their chance of contact with an infected person will be low. 

Herd immunity is thus precisely what the elite seek to prevent at all cost. It is the one thing that can protect your job, and your current prosperity. What the globalist "Great Resetters" want, instead, is a crisis so prolonged as to destroy the consumer economy and permanently lower the standard of living of the 99% to the massively lower level that they, the sheltered elite, call "sustainable." 

Related:
The Spectator:

A medic’s case against another lockdown

... In August, the Lancet published an analysis of data from 50 countries. The researchers found that full lockdowns were 'not associated' with decreased mortality from Covid-19. These are hard outcome data; reality cannot be waved away with theories or projections.  So much for the purported benefits. What about the risks? We cannot answer this question fully because a worldwide lockdown experiment has never been run before. However, evidence for the harms of lockdown is now piling up. In the US, homicides are up 50 per cent compared to last summer. In France, domestic violence calls are up 30 per cent. In Canada, almost three times more people are contemplating suicide compared to last year; and in British Columbia, overdose deaths have tripled from pre-pandemic levels. When you deprive children of their education, adults of their livelihood, and elderly people of their social connections, desperation and despair quickly set in. While a thoughtful person might have predicted this, the mathematical models did not.  All of these numbers fit with what I see in my clinical practice. I have personally admitted dozens of elderly people to hospital with illness resulting from social isolation and neglect. Some were literally starving to death. One patient, in her eighties, lived in a retirement community but relied on family members to feed her meals. When they were socially distanced (banned) from the premises, she couldn’t feed herself and her health quickly deteriorated. Another patient, a 92-year-old woman, simply gave up on life and started refusing her meals once her family stopped coming to visit. Both these scenes were catastrophically inhumane and will stick with me for a long time. Neither is captured in the government’s Covid-19 statistics. ... ...As a medic, my verdict is clear: mandatory government lockdowns amount to a medical recommendation of no proven benefit, of extraordinary potential harm, that do not take personal values and individual consent into account. Physicians who call for their use should hearken back to these core planks of their ethical training.

. 

AIER:
Is Cowen Right about the Great Barrington Declaration?
Off Guardian:
Why we should seek Covid19 herd immunity not suppression

EClinicalMedicine: 

A country level analysis measuring the impact of government actions, country preparedness and socioeconomic factors on COVID-19 mortality and related health outcomes

Oxford Professor of Epidemiology Declares UK Lockdown Policy a Costly Blunder

 By Sunetra Gupta

Unherd, October 17, 2020: Yesterday in parliament, Matt Hancock explained to the house why, “on the substance”, the central claim of the Great Barrington Declaration was “emphatically not true”.

“Many diseases never reach herd immunity – including measles, malaria, AIDS and flu…” he said. “Herd immunity is a flawed goal – even if we could get to it, which we can’t.”

Let’s have a look at the diseases he mentions. Measles, if it arrives on ‘virgin soil’, can devastate a population. In Tahiti and Moorea and the South-east and North-west Marquesas, between 20% and 70% of the population was lost to the first epidemic. Natural infection with measles provides lifelong immunity, and we now have a vaccine which provides similar solid, durable protection. We have not been able to eliminate the disease, but those who rather selfishly choose not to vaccinate their children are only able make that choice because the risks of infection are kept low by those who are immune — currently, a combination of those, like me, who caught it and recovered and many others for whom it is vaccine induced. The vaccine does not work in babies, which is why you have to wait till they are a year old before they get it. We can do this because herd immunity keeps the risk of infection down, so they are are unlikely to be infected in their first year of life. Without this herd protection, many under ones would die (as they regularly do in sub-Saharan Africa) despite a vaccine being available.

Read more

Davos Deconstructed

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Sky News Australia:

Int’l Lawyers Bringing Class Action Over “Covid Scandal”

LOL: Well that didn't last long over at U-Tube, aka the Digital Memory Hole.

But not to worry, you can watch the video here at Off Guardian (which if you had wondered is NOT sponsored by that formerly somewhat left-wing newspaper, but now odious globalist rag the Guardian.

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Source: The Spectator

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China Had COVID-Like Patients Months Before Official Timeline

Paul Joseph Watson"

Lockdowns killing more people than Covid19

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Sci Am.

Lab-Made ‘Miniproteins’ Could Block the Coronavirus from Infecting Cells

Zero Hedge:

WHO Flip-Flops: Urges World Leaders To Stop Using Lockdowns To Fight COVID Contagion

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Mises Inst:

The Second Act Will Be Worse Than the First: Lockdowns Are Not the Answer

BMJ:

Effect of school closures on mortality from coronavirus disease 2019: old and new predictions

The Great Barrington Declaration And Its Critics

At 1.05 million deaths over the past nine or ten months, the coronavirus appears to be a problem along the lines of, for example, traffic accidents, which cause 1.35 million deaths per year, or tuberculosis, which results in 1.5 million deaths annually

. 

Daily Mail:

University Students Returning to School Across Britain Rev Up Covid Infections Massively

The average age of death from coronavirus is 82.4 years

Is the 'cure' for Covid worse than the disease? Driven to despair by lockdown, two of Professor Angus Dalgleish's colleagues took their own lives… and compelled him to join a growing rebellion against Cromwellian corona restrictions

How Young Brits Do Social Distancing and Here

UnHerd:

Is The Guardian planning an attack on the Great Barrington scientists?

Off Guardian:

WHO (Accidentally) Confirms Covid is No More Dangerous Than Flu

DM:

Coronavirus lockdowns 'may kill MORE than herd immunity strategy does': Strict restrictions and school closures could increase deaths as Covid bounces back, major study finds

Michael Yeadon:
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Regulator Watch:

German Official Leaks Report Denouncing Corona as ‘A Global False Alarm’

Off Guardian:

ANOTHER 10 Experts Questioning the Coronavirus Panic

Zero Hedge:

COVID-19 Is 'Unrestricted Bioweapon': Whistleblower Releases Second Paper Alleging 'Large-Scale, Organized Scientific Fraud'

Biohacking Humans with DNA, Nanotechnology, IoT and 5G

 By Domagoj Nikolić

Diplomat Magazine June 7, 2020: 

Disclaimer: The views expressed here are those of the author; they do not reflect the author’s employer or any entity whatsoever with which he has been, is now, or will be affiliated.

Could it be that the “vaccines” they want to push on us, using the corona pandemic as a pretext, are connected to some kind of a deranged transhumanistic scenario? Apparently, Jeffrey Epstein had a maniacal goal to seed the entire human race with his DNA. If I read between the lines correctly, the fulfilment of this “deed” would take injecting his genetic code into the DNA of every human. 

However, spreading his genetic footprint on the whole of humanity by impregnating a bunch of rape victims or prostitutes, as was indicated by his loose talk, did not seem realistic.

It is well known that he used to hang out with prominent scientists from Harvard, MIT, etc. So, why did he so lavishly fund synthetic biology and genetic engineering?

Jeffrey Epstein and biotech research 

Epstein not only donated his own funds, but also served as “an intermediary (with) other wealthy donors, soliciting millions of dollars in donations from individuals and organizations, including the technologist and philanthropist Bill Gates and the investor Leon Black.” By and large, the beneficiaries of his largesse had a deeper fund-raising relationshipwith him than they were willing to admit, and did their best to conceal the extents of their contacts.

Numerous Harvard geneticists, including George Church, have accepted Epstein donations. He has since then, like many others, issued an apology. However, knowing what we know today, we should not take either their judgement or motives as valid. We should also make note of the fact that the same George Church appeared as a member of the anti-corona genetics team. 

In another example, a Harvard scientist named Charles Lieber took “generous” donations from Epstein. The same Charles Lieber was arrested for the undisclosed Wuhan – Harvard connection, i.e. for setting up a secret biotech lab in China, allegedly to bypass the US regulations on biowarfare research. 

His funding included more than $15M from donors such as DoD and National Institutes of Health (NIH). He “specialized in the area of nanoscience” and “became a ‘Strategic Scientist’ at Wuhan University of Technology (WUT)” that “awarded him more than $1.5 million to establish a research lab at WUT”.

An interesting article elaborating those connections was published on Joseph P. Farrell’s website, which reaffirmed that Lieber’s specialized research was nanotechnology aimed “to detect small viral particles in humans”. 

Read more

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Off Guardian: 

Int’l Lawyers Bringing Class Action Over “Covid Scandal”

Top Scientists Urge End to Covid Lockdowns, Call for Greater Protection of the Vulnerable, Freedom for the Rest

What these people are urging is that the Covid19 virus be allowed to spread freely among those who are least are risk of serious illness or death, thereby achieving herd immunity.

Herd immunity acquired naturally through the spread of a novel infectious agent depends on the acqusition of immunity by survivors of the infection, which thus limits viral spread, since the proportion of the population to which the virus can be spread is reduced. This effect is measured by changes in the so-called Reproduction number or R₀, which is the number of persons to whom each infected person passes the virus. As the virus spreads and the proportion of the population with immunity rises, R₀ falls and, with it, the number of new infections. Ultimately, R₀ reachs a value of one at which point the number of new infections stabilizes at a low level relative to the number at the height of the epidemic. At this stage the virus is said to be in a state of endemic equilibrium, meaning it won't go away but the number of new infections will not flare up as during the epidemic, but remain at a more or less constant low level. In due course, it is hoped that an effective anti-Covid19 vaccine will be available. Then R₀ can be driven well below 1.0 and the disease will become quite rare.

One question this strategy raises is how close is the world or any particular country to achieving herd immunity. According to the Johns Hopkins University Corona Virus Resource Center, the total number of Covid19 cases worldwide is 35 million. or about zero point four percent of the world's population. That implies we are very far from worldwide herd immunity, which would require perhaps four and a half billion infections, or 60% of the world's population. Or so it is believed. However, some research suggests that due to differences among individuals and groups in their social interactions, herd immunity requires infection of only about 40% of the population of concern, or three billion infections worldwide, but that is still vastly greater than the number of infections reported by the Johns Hopkins University Corona Virus Resource Center.

But the number of infections worldwide may be much greater than the data from Johns Hopkins suggest. According to an announcement today from the World Health Organization, global infections now total 750 million, or more than 20 times the Johns Hopkins University estimate. That number, combined with the lower estimate of the numbers for herd immunity, implies that worldwide, the population could already be one quarter of the way to herd immunity. If that is correct, and if as proposed by the scientists calling for an end to lockdowns we protect the vulnerable part of the population, which is to say those over 60 years of age, then we could be shot of Covid19 as a major problem quite soon.

Related:
The Great Barrington Declaration
As infectious disease epidemiologists and public health scientists we have grave concerns about the damaging physical and mental health impacts of the prevailing COVID-19 policies, and recommend an approach we call Focused Protection.
Read more

Over 7,000 Scientists, Doctors Call For COVID Herd Immunity, End To Lockdowns

The Bogus RT_PCR Test for Covid19

Is Britain's Second Wave Covid Lock-down Designed to Conceal the Absence of a Second Wave?

Earlier this year, a group of Oxford University scientists published a non peer-reviewed article on the MedArchive web site stating that:

 

Our simulations are in agreement with other studies that the current [Covid19] epidemic wave in the UK and Italy in the absence of interventions should have an approximate duration of 2-3 months, with numbers of deaths lagging behind in time relative to overall infections.  Lorenco, J. et al. March 26, 2020.

The paper was posted at MedArchive on March 26, 2020. Therefore, the prediction that the disease in the UK would transition from epidemic to endemic within 2-3 months can be evaluated by the published data.

What the data show is that Covid deaths in the UK peaked on April 20 at 1,172 and fell by 96% to 43 by June 20, i.e., three months later. Thereafter, the rate of Covid deaths in the UK has remained low and stable with a count of 24 recorded on September 24.

So, in its most important assertion, the paper was exactly correct: the epidemic wave of Covid19 that killed thousands in Britain earlier in the year is now over. Covid19 cases are still occurring in Britain, although with what frequency is unclear, but Covid-related deaths are now substantially fewer than those caused by the seasonal flu. 

Why then would the British Government introduce new lock-down measures that interrupt the education of both school children and university students, while causing massive economic costs? 

Is the answer precisely to conceal the fact that the widely touted second wave is an illusion based on dodgy or totally useless methods of assessing new infections? 

With a new lock-down even more severe than the last, the ending of the Covid epidemic, which has yet to register in the minds of most citizens, overwhelmed as they are by the mass media Covid terror campaign, will be attributed to an all-wise government, rather than to the natural progression of the disease. 

That naturally raises the question, why?

Why would the government of the UK along with governments in many other Western countries deliberately trash their own economies on the basis of a false alarm?

Suggestions invited.

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Daily Mail:

Dentists see an explosion in patients suffering from tooth decay and gum disease after wearing face coverings

Oxford Professor Trashes UK Government's New Lockdown Policy

You will see in the chart (after 7 min 36 seconds) in the Spectator video below that UK Covid19 deaths are now running well below deaths due to either flu or pneumonia. This means that Britain's "second wave" is a hoax.

Following that chart, there is an interview with Dr. Sunetra Gupta, Oxford University epidemiologist who argues that lockdown does not resolve the problem that Covid presents, which must eventually be faced, and means accepting an “endemic equilibrium such as we enjoy with influenza …”, which she says, should be achieved by allowing the virus to circulate while protecting the vulnerable.

In effect, Professor Gupta is saying that herd immunity is the end game, and as she has argued in various publications, herd immunity may already have been reached in parts of Britain where serological surveys indicate up to 20% of the population have Covid antibodies, while up to 60% may have T-Cell immunity from infection by virtue of exposure to other corona viruses.


Herd immunity may also have been achieved in the US. In late June CDC Director, Dr. Robert Redfield, stated that US Covid cases may be ten times the number reported. Currently, the number of reported cases is 7.3 million. If that is a 90% under-report, then the actual number of cases is equal to 21% of the US population. Add in the 60% of the population that may have T-cell immunity to Covid infection due to prior exposure to other corona viruses and you have the numbers for herd immunity. What that means is that the rate of infections in the future will stabilize around the present number, though with seasonal variation, as with other viruses.

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The Demolition of Former FBI Director, James Comey

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In the Northern Hemisphere, the Covid epidemic is over, for this year at least

 The Covid scare continues as governments seek to terrify the public by reporting ever increasing numbers of "cases," aka the deadly Covid19 "Second Wave." 

But what is a "case"?

Is it an illness with symptoms characteristic of a Covid19 infection or just a positive reaction on the generally unreliable (with many false positives)  Covid RT_PCR test, or something else? 

Rarely if ever is this rather important detail divulged.  

But whatever may be a "case," UK Covid deaths peaked at 1152 on April 9 and "cases" hit a peak of 6201 on May 1. "cases" then dropped by 94% to 352 on July 3, by which time the daily death toll had also fallen 94% from the April peak.

Then as the supposedly deadly "Second Wave" hit, "cases" rose to  6873 by last Friday, an 11% increase over May's peak. 

This recrudescence in "cases" seems to have turned Boris Johnson into the Great Dictator intent on locking everyone up. Funny thing, though, UK Covid deaths are down to 34, or only 3% of April's peak rate and only half of the rate at the time of the July minimum in "cases." 

The same pattern is evident in Canada and other North temperate zone countries. The US pattern is somewhat different, as the epidemic started later and is peaking later in Southern than in Northern states, a difference in pattern also seen with the seasonal flu. Nevertheless, it is now clear that the "Second Wave" is by no means comparable in lethality with the first and is not generating a significant excess death rate. 

So the epidemic of Covid-induced death in Northern countries is largely over -- for this year, anyhow. 

The only plague that remains is the pack of liars and swindlers in government intent on shrinking the economy and driving unemployment to Great Depression era levels by imposing unnecessary lockdowns, wildly spending money that central banks obediently print to the detriment of the value of your savings, disrupting education and driving a significant section of the population to a condition of clinical depression.

Related:

Former Chief Science Officer for Pfizer Says "Second Wave" Faked on False-Positive COVID Tests, "Pandemic is Over"

Canada's Foolish Government-Sponsored Covid Second Wave Panic

 Here are some numbers on Covid survival rates from the US Center for Disease Control: 

Age  0-19  — 99.997%
Age 20-49 — 99.98%
Age 50-69 — 99.5%
Age 70+    — 94.6%

So if you are under 50, you chances of dying of Covid-19 are between extremely slight to virtually non-existent. If, like me, you are over 70, yes, Covid19 could kill you, though it probably won't, and remember, something's gonna kill you pretty soon anyhow. 

In fact, your chance of even getting Covid19 is slight. While terrorizing the population and wrecking the economy to save us from a small to negligible risk of  death, the Government of Canada has remarkably failed to gather data on the spread of this supposedly deadly virus throughout the nation. The Canadian Blood Services, however, a non-governmental charitable organization reports the following rate of Covid-19 antibody seroprevalence among healthy blood donors:

British Columbia 0.50%

Alberta 0.37%

Saskatchewan 0.46%

Manitoba 0.56%

Ontario 0.96%

New Brunswick 0.26%

Nova Scotia 0.36%

Newfoundland and Labrador 0.29%

Prince Edward Island 0.00%

Overall 0.70% 

But if you do get Covid19 and, like 99% plus of those infected you recover within a couple of weeks, then, um, so what? I mean, I had the Asian flu that killed a million people in 1958 (when world population was only 38% of what it is now), and I was back to school within a few days. For most people, the effect of Covid19 is about the same. 

But, but ... the Second Wave, that's what'll kill us all. Except that despite the lies of the scaremongering media, there is no second wave. As this Google chart shows, the Canadian Covid death toll has fallen from a peak of around 250 per day in May to a current rate of between five and six per day during September, with some days zero. That's less than one percent of the  daily death toll from all causes, which averages about 775 a day.

Covid19 like the flu, can knock you back for a week or two, or if you're old, especially if you are old and in poor health, there is a significant though small risk that it will kill you, just as can the seasonal flu or pneumonia. But that is no reason to give the dim-witted egomaniac, Justin Trudeau, the freedom to wreck the economy and impose a totalitarian regime. 

But take care. Accidents kill more Canadians — about  13,000 each year, than the 9,242 reportedly killed by Covid-19 so far in 2020. And don't be discouraged: last year 25,000 Canadians were hospitalized or killed by self-harm, and more have been driven to thoughts of suicide during the current largely manufactured Covid19 crisis. 

Related: 

Lord Sumption:

What kind of a country have we become when arrogant bullying is seen as the proper function of Ministers? Ex-Supreme Court judge LORD SUMPTION denounces No10's rule of muddle and authoritarianism

Peter Hitchens:

Boris' great idea? Burn down the house TWICE to get rid of a wasps' nest, then stand in the ruins and blame everyone but himself for this futile catastrophe

Daily Mail:

Nigel Farage threatens to launch anti-lockdown party -- hits Boris Johnson's draconian restrictions

Daily Mail: 

Lockdowns may kill more than Covid19

Summit News:

German Minister: Lockdown Will Kill More Than Covid-19 Does

Aussie Push Back on Destructive Totalitarian Government Response to Covid-19:

CC. Justin Trudeau.

James Corbett:

Covid19 and the Biosecurity state

Kit Knightly: 

UK’s “Daily Covid Deaths” didn’t die in one day & didn’t all have Covid

Off Guardian:

The Covidean Creed

T-Cell immunity and Why Covid Lock-downs Were an Unnecessary Disaster

An article in the British Medical Journal entitled Covid-19: Do many people have pre-existing immunity? by Peter Doshi, an associate editor of the Journal, presents evidence of the existence of widespread pre-existent immunity to Covid-19. 

In particular, the evidence suggests that something like 60% of the population in many countries have Covid-19 reactive T-cells that facilitate an effective antibody response to the Corona virus. Thus, whereas only a small proportion of the population in most countries test positive for Covid-19 antibodies, a majority may have a T-cell dependent capacity to develop an effective antibody response to Covid-19 such that they remain either asymptomatic after infection or suffer only a mild illness. 

If that is correct, it means that Covid-19 is not a mortal threat to the majority of the population, and therefore, the correct response to the virus would have been to protect only those with a pre-existent condition, particularly old age, obesity, or heart or respiratory disease that makes them vulnerable to serious illness or death due to Covid-19. The rest of the population, which is to say the vast majority, should have been left free to go about their business. Further, it indicates that Sweden's courageous refusal to be bullied the the World Health Organization into shuttering its economy was the correct response and nearly every other Western country got it wrong. 

I posted the above comment at the Unz Review, at the end of a long thread responding to an article by Ron Unz in which he accuses the New York Times and The Atlantic of failing to provide coverage of investigative journalism relating to Covid-19. However, my comment failed to pass the Unz Review censor, indicating that Unz cannot tolerate even mainstream medical journal commentary relating to Covid-19 where it deviates from his conviction that the virus represents an existential risk to all and sundry.

Related:

Lockdown Skeptics: 

Lies, Damned Lies and Health Statistics – the Deadly Danger of False Positives

Quote: Because of the high false positive rate (of the RT PCR test) and the low prevalence (of the Covid-19 virus), almost every positive test, a so-called case, identified by Pillar 2 since May of this year has been a FALSE POSITIVE.

And because the rate of testing has increased the number of reported "cases" has increased. But as most "cases" are in fact false positives, the "second wave" is most likely entirely an artifact due to a combination of increased testing and a high false positive rate, as the figure below illustrates. The upper histogram indicates the real frequency distribution of "cases" in Britain, the lower histogram records the the misleading data published by the UK Government. 

So what the above figure indicates is that the lockdown in the UK was the result not of a pandemic or even a plandemic but of a flamdemic as in flim-flam: i.e., a phony claim about the threat posed by Covid-19 the phoniness of which the British Government can deny only by claiming stupendous idiocy in the face of clear warnings from scientifically competent people who were in communication with the Government at the time the Government was terrorizing the population with vastly inflated Covid case numbers.

And just in case folks aren't sufficiently intimidated, it has been announced that the UK will deploy the army to aid police in enforcing all flamdemic-justified restrictions of freedom of movement and assembly. 

Off Guardian:

Is evidence masks don’t work being purged from the internet?

Delingpole:

Boris Goes Full Fascist Against Lockdown Protests – But Not BLM or XR

Zero Hedge:

COVID-19: Does Sweden Have Herd Immunity?

Jon Rappoport:

COVID is a data-driven operation, but suppose the data are wrong?

America: A Failed State

Survival Blog, September 21, 2020: What’s happening to America? It’s a question that Americans — and people around the world — are asking, horrified and bewildered.

The answer to that question goes like this. America was a failed state. And now it’s becoming an authoritarian one. America is now 60 days from the final stage of social collapse — the terminal stage, the point of no return, at which a society goes full-blown authoritarian, permanently — and it’s looking increasingly likely to us survivors and scholars of authoritarianism that that final, terminal stage is going to happen. America is dying.

And yet that’s a classical, textbook, predictable sequence. Which, if you really want to prevent, you should probably understand. Let me explain.

What do you imagine a failed state is? If you’re a “real” American, you probably think it’s some distant, war-torn land. And in a sense, you’re right. But it was also America, and is.

A failed state is a place where people can no longer really obtain the basics of life, in any fair or decent or sane way. There is not enough to go around. The result is that people live under the rule of a kind of violence, in a state of chaos, in perpetual despair and rage and panic. Where will tomorrow’s water, food, medicine, the money to pay for it all, come from?

...

The state’s most basic job is to organise society in such a way that people can obtain the basics of life. We all need shelter, food, water, and medicine to live. To live well, at even a minimal level, we need safety, education, income, savings. That doesn’t mean that the state has to give those things to people necessarily — but it does have to organise society in such a way that those things can be had.

And that is precisely where America failed. Americans — especially “real” ones — are used to growing up in an atmosphere of fevered propaganda, exceptionalism. But what really happened in America from 1980 to about 2015 was this.

America became a society where people couldn’t obtain the basics of life anymore. I mean that in both absolute and relative ways. Want to have a child? That’ll cost you $50,000. Want to educate one? That’ll cost you $250,000. Need a life-saving operation? Sorry, that’ll cost you $500,000. What the? Entire cities had infrastructures which simply failed, like Flint.

Society as a whole had no functioning social systems — healthcare, retirement, pensions. So Americans’ only choice was to pay the prices that their system demanded. Want a pension? Wall St will sell you a “401K” — and take a fat cut, while hedge funds raid whatever was left of your life savings. Want healthcare? Sure, that “premium” will cost you thousands a month, for a plan that provides little care or choice at all.

Americans were locked into broken, dysfunctional systems, which no longer provided them the basics of life, at prices they could afford.

The income of the average American was scarcely $50k. How were they to afford any of this? They couldn’t, quite obviously.

The result was that many Americans began to go without the basics of life. They chose between that life-saving operation, or keeping a roof over their kids’ heads. They ate cheap, industrially processed food, and grew obese and ill, because it had little nutritional value. They worked jobs that would never lead to careers or mobility desperately just to retain some access to the meagre “benefits” only jobs now provided. Young Americans found themselves crippled by educational debt, and unable to begin independent lives of their own.

See the point clearly. America could no longer provide the basics to people. It could not feed, shelter, educate, or employ its people. Not affordably, and certainly not well. The situation was so bad, for example, that Americans just gave up looking for work, in fact, reaching a point where just above half of the working age population were employed at all. That millennials became a lost generation stuck at home forever, working crap jobs. That strangers begged one another for money to pay for medicine online.

This was a Soviet society by any other name. The Soviet Union famously had breadlines, where you’d never get the bread. America had unobtainable basics, too, in even larger and more lethal ways.

What did Americans have to do to simply even attempt to afford the basics of life — medicine, education, food, water, housing? They had to go into massive debt. Today, the average American dies in debt, meaning his or her debts are unpayable. And that means that he never in net terms really owns, saves, or earns a penny.

Those are the economics of failed states. People end up broke. A society descends into mass poverty. Nobody much can afford the basics. Meanwhile, those who have monopolies over said basics become ultra, mega rich. Vast inequality sets in. An economy becomes a kind of caste society — a large pool of hopeless and powerless proles, and a tiny number of billionaires so rich and powerful they resemble feudal lords of old.

Worse, nobody much understands — because a society’s economic statistics don’t show it. In America, like in the Soviet Union, economic statistics failed to reflect any of the real pain or despair people were beginning to live in. The stock market boomed — forever. Profits rose and rose. The unemployment rate seemed suspiciously low. Things had never been better! Then why was the average American broke, dying in debt, working a go-nowhere job, descending into poverty? These two sets of facts did not comport. One had to be lying, and the other telling the truth. But America’s intellectuals and politicians were incurious, lazy. They did not seem to care that the story economics was telling didn’t seem to be telling any remotely accurate truth about people’s living standards anymore.

Read full article: 

America A Failed State, That’s The First Stage Of Collapse

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