Sunday, October 25, 2020

Scared of Covid19: Here's the Risk It'll Kill Ya

 The CDC reports that, in America, the age-dependent infection fatality rates for Covid19 are:

Age             Risk of death

0    - 19       0.00003 or one in 33,333
20  - 49       0.0002, or one in 5,000
50  - 69       0.005, or one in 200
70 +            0.06, or one in 18

Or looking at that in a more positive way, Covid19 survival rates are:

Age                  Survival rate

0   - 19 Years    99.997%
20 - 49 Years    99.98%
50 - 69 Years    99.5%
70 - 80 Years    94.6%

And that's if you're infected. But thus far, probably no more than about one in ten of the world's population has been infected, so if effective vaccines materialize, you'll likely never be infected. 

And for comparison, here are all ages risk of death due to some other causes:

Cancer:                          one in     562
heart disease:                 one in     520
Respiratory disease:      one in    2104
Motor vehicle accident: one in   5243

So what those numbers show is that it would make as much sense to shutter much of the economy to protect under-50's from motor vehicle accidents as to protect them from covid-19. Yet no one in the right mind would suggest doing anything so idiotic. So why do we do something so idiotic because of Covid19? Explanations invited.

Related:
Medical Express:
over 80% of COVID-19 patients have vitamin D deficiency
DM:
anti-lockdown protests sweeps across Europe

No comments:

Post a Comment