Showing posts with label infection rate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label infection rate. Show all posts

Thursday, December 7, 2023

Why Masks Promote the Spread of Covid

The Epoch TV Reports:
According to a new study published out of Norway, people who wore face masks were actually found to be more likely to contract COVID-19 (versus those who didn’t wear face masks). Specifically, a peer-reviewed study published in the journal Epidemiology and Infection found that those who always (or almost always) wore masks were somewhere between 4-40% more likely to catch Covid-19.

It seemed likely at the time that mask wearers would have a higher infection rate. 

The reason? 

Because so many mask wearers, apparently believing themselves to be invulnerable, were uninhibited about crowding others whether masked or unmasked. In this way mask wearers not only risked passing on their own germs, which we now know passed relatively unimpeded through the vast majority of masks worn during Covid, but of exposing themselves to viral particles exhaled by others. 

What those overconfident mask-wearers should have had is a mask like this:        

         3M 7800S-M Full-Face Respirator - Medium H-3396

Related:

"BA.2.86 may be more capable of causing infection in people who have previously had COVID-19 or who have received COVID-19 vaccines."
CDC Director Issues New Covid Alert, Urges Americans to Wear Masks (VIDEO) See someone with a mask? Best to steer well clear. 

Child Mask Mandates Have No Clear Benefits And Cause Harm, BMJ Review Finds

Friday, January 28, 2022

Living With Lies: How the Unvaxxed, Despite a Lower Covid Infection Rate, Are Supposed to be a Threat to the Double Vaxxed

Why the double-vaccinated in some places are testing positive for COVID more often than the unvaccinated is the title of a National Post article that perfectly demonstrates the uselessness of the mainstream media. 

The author of that NP article takes what is a well known and indisputable fact, namely that the vaxxed have a higher Covid infection rate than the unvaxxed, and then mulls around attempting to find some rationalization, however feeble, to justify the lies and bullying that drive the mass vaccination campaign. For example,
“experts say the trend probably stems from statistical “biases” — the nature of the people who have been getting tested and who most frequently were exposed to the virus — and definitely not some strange quirk of immunization.”
Nah, nothing quirky. The reason is straight forward and, once you ignore the misdirection, obvious: it is that the vaxxed spread Covid because they believe what is implied by the vax campaign propaganda, namely, that they are protected from Covid. So naturally the vaxxed circulate and socialize more freely than the unvaxxed who know that they are at risk of picking up a potentially lethal illness. 

So  it is not the unvaxxed who are chiefly responsible for the spread of Covid, but stupid or dishonest, people like Justin Trudeau and British Columbia's Saint Bonnie, "be kind, be calm, be safe" Henry, who push the vax by unjustly and mendaciously demonizing the unvaxxed as Covid spreaders.

The vax does not stop the spread, it hastens it, while it kills or injures a substantial, though hidden, number of those who take it. All that can be claimed by the vaxxers is that the vaccinated are less likely to need hospitalization if infected. That's a plus, if true (though see link to UK data highlighted in red below, which show negative vaccine effects on infection and mortality), but hospitals are not overwhelmed by Covid cases and never have been. And if they had been, there were, or should have been, standby beds in temporary hospitals, such as these
 

Rex Murphy: Should Trudeau Decide What's Acceptable?
The prime minister's scornful dismissal of the truckers convoy makes me wonder: have those who rule us forgotten the basis of their rule? Read more


One of the best Canadian Anthem videos ever created: #TruckersForFreedom2022




As Brigade of Trucks Reaches Canada’s Capitol, Spineless PM Trudeau Hides in “Covid Isolation” Despite 2 Negative Tests and Guidelines Saying Fully Vaxxed “Don’t Need to Isolate”
"Ol’ blackface Trudeau is taking a page straight out of Biden’s playbook.

The tyrannical Canadian PM is currently holed up in his basement as tens of thousands of trucks and countless others begin arriving in the country’s Capitol of Ottawa to protest his autocratic Covid-19 mandates. ..."
So it's not just we Canucks: The World hates our low-IQ, narcissistic, Fascistic, pseudo-liberal, so-called leader. 


Truth or Covid
We’re experiencing an attack on the foundation of ordered liberty, an assault that is already in the process of submerging democracies beneath what the Italian philosopher Giorgio Agamben has called a “permanent ‘state of exception.’”

Sunday, October 25, 2020

Scared of Covid19: Here's the Risk It'll Kill Ya

 The CDC reports that, in America, the age-dependent infection fatality rates for Covid19 are:

Age             Risk of death

0    - 19       0.00003 or one in 33,333
20  - 49       0.0002, or one in 5,000
50  - 69       0.005, or one in 200
70 +            0.06, or one in 18

Or looking at that in a more positive way, Covid19 survival rates are:

Age                  Survival rate

0   - 19 Years    99.997%
20 - 49 Years    99.98%
50 - 69 Years    99.5%
70 - 80 Years    94.6%

And that's if you're infected. But thus far, probably no more than about one in ten of the world's population has been infected, so if effective vaccines materialize, you'll likely never be infected. 

And for comparison, here are all ages risk of death due to some other causes:

Cancer:                          one in     562
heart disease:                 one in     520
Respiratory disease:      one in    2104
Motor vehicle accident: one in   5243

So what those numbers show is that it would make as much sense to shutter much of the economy to protect under-50's from motor vehicle accidents as to protect them from covid-19. Yet no one in the right mind would suggest doing anything so idiotic. So why do we do something so idiotic because of Covid19? Explanations invited.

Related:
Medical Express:
over 80% of COVID-19 patients have vitamin D deficiency
DM:
anti-lockdown protests sweeps across Europe

Thursday, April 23, 2020

Has New York City Achieved Covid19 Herd Immunity?

New York State Governor, Andrew Cuomo announced today that random surveys indicatd that 14% of New York State residents now have antibodies to Covid19, and in New York City, the number is 21%.

Assuming that being antibody positive means Covid19 immunity, that is immunity from re-infection, has New York achieved so-called herd immunity, which is to say immunity to the Covid19 virus that is sufficiently widespread to prevent each newly infected individual from, on average, passing the virus to more than one other person?

If herd immunity has been achieved, then the decline in reported deaths should continue even if the present measures of quarantine and lock-down are abandoned.

Unfortunately, there is no clear guide as to the infection frequency required for herd immunity. Assuming a reproduction number of more than three, which is to say the average number of people each infected person infects before the development of any population immunity, then an infection rate of over 60% of thereabouts would be needed to end the epidemic, assuming that people interact and spread the disease in a random fashion. However, people do not interact in a random fashion. Some are much more effective as disease spreaders than others. Children, for example, are excellent spreaders, both among themselves and among family members and family friends. Old folks, however, tend to live relatively isolated lives and are therefore extremely poor spreaders. It is not implausible, therefore, to suppose that an immunity rate of 21, as in New York City, or even as low as 14% for New York State as a whole, is sufficient to cause the epidemic to die.

As the various jurisdictions dealing with the epidemic make decision on ending lock-downs and other quarantine measures, and as more surveys of population immunity are reported, we will soon know.

Related:
YDN: R nought in New York City is less than one: Herd immunity achieved
The Hill: The results are in — stop the panic and end the total isolation
The Irish Savant: Heads I win, tails you lose
DC Whispers: Sweden Kept Economy Open, Yet Has A Mortality Rate Similar To America’s
Pepe Escobar: What Did U.S. Intel Really Know About the ‘Chinese’ Virus?
Post News: 94% of All NYC Coronavirus Patients Have Underlying Health Problems

Saturday, April 11, 2020

German Survey Proves Corona Virus Poses No Existential Threat to the Nation

To know how deadly Corvid19 is, one must know how many of those who are infected will die. 

This, governments have thus far failed to determine, which is remarkable since any competent epidemiological research group furnished with a modest research grant could easily find out. The task is simple. The number of deaths due to the disease is known. Thus what remains to be determined is the proportion of the population that has been infected. For this purpose, a small random sample of the population, a thousand or two at most, needs to be tested for current or past infection. For this purpose  there are blood tests that assess the presence of the virus (indicating current infection), the so-call reverse transcriptase PCR tests, and there are blood tests that assess the presence of antibodies to the virus (indicating past infection), namely immunological or serological tests. 

To hear government spokespersons talk about such testing, one might assume it necessary to test every human on the face of the planet to come to any useful conclusion. Thus, for example, President Trump's medical expert on Covid19, Dr. Fauci is reported to have said:

‘Obviously’ I Would Like to Test Whole Country for Coronavirus Antibody...

[But] “We’re not going to have testing for everybody in the country tomorrow. It’s going to be a gradual process. We are starting when the next week or two, we’ll be able to scale-up the kind of antibody testing to give you a good feel for what the penetrance of the infection is.”
Clearly the man is an idiot or someone who thinks that Americans are idiots.
To get "a good feel for what the penetrance of the infection is," if one must talk in such ridiculously stilted language, it’s not necessary to test the whole goddam population, all you need is a random survey of a few hundred people.

And thanks to the fact that Germans, if no one else, are not entirely stupid, we now have the results of one such survey:
A team at the University of Bonn has tested a randomized sample of 1,000 residents of the town of Gangelt in the north-west of the country, one of the epicenters of the outbreak in Germany. The study found that two percent of the population currently had the virus and that 14 percent were carrying antibodies suggesting that they had already been infected — whether or not they experienced any symptoms. Eliminating an overlap between the two groups, the team concluded that 15 percent of the town have been infected with the virus.
This work needs to be replicated on a nationally representative sample population of several thousand people in total, but if the result for the town of Gangelt is indicative of the rate of Covid19 infection nationally, it indicates that around 12 million Germans have already been infected. With 2763 deaths to date, the implied death rate is of 2736 per 12 million infections (i.e., 15% of the national population), or 0.0023%.

No doubt the virus is still spreading in Germany, and the national death toll could mount six or seven times higher if the infection were to spread to the entire population. But that is not possible, since herd immunity would stop the epidemic beyond the 50 to 60% infection rate. Thus total deaths in Germany due to Covid19 are unlikely to exceed 10,000, or about three times the annual motor accident death toll. So yes, the cost of the novel Corona virus is high. But note that most virus deaths will be among the over 65's, many of them at the point of death due to other conditions, whereas car crashes kill mainly the young and healthy.

But the German death toll due to Covid19 will certainly not reach anything like 10,000 if the German Government takes the most simple-minded steps to limit the death toll, most importantly by advising the elderly to stay in quarantine, while the rest of the population goes back to work.

So the proper virus response is simple really. But give the likes of Trump and Trudeau, Merkel and Micron the opportunity to grab totalitarian powers, and they will not give them up unless those powers are torn from their hands by an enraged populace and an effective government opposition.

Related:
ZH: COVID-19 and Annual Flu Mortality Compared
NewsPunch: Bill Gates’ Instagram Page Flooded With People Calling For His Arrest For ‘Crimes Against Humanity’
YDN: Coronavirus has been in California since December
ZH: Robert F Kennedy Jr. Exposes Bill Gates' Vaccine Agenda In Scathing Report
YDN: More than 3,600 elderly people have died from coronavirus in nursing homes across the US - but the government does not count them
ZH: South Korea Says Nearly 100 Recovered COVID-19 Patients Tested Positive Again
Jonathan Geach, MD: Eight Reasons to End the Lockdowns As Soon as Possible
The BL: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. answers Bill Gates on the dangers of a mandatory CCP Virus vaccineJohn Vibes: Governments Using Pandemic to Build “Architecture of Oppression”
ZH: China Begins Mass Deletion Of Online Research On Coronavirus Origins
From Harvard to the Big House: The COVID-19 pandemic and serial passage gain-of-function research
WSJ: Coronavirus Strikes at Least 2,100 Senior Facilities Across U.S., Killing 2,300 People
Fort Russ: Vaccine ‘Mark Of The Beast?’: It’s Time To Stop Bill Gates
NewsPunch: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Slams Bill Gates’ ‘God-like Willingness To Experiment With Lives of Lesser Humans’
IW: US Hospitals Get Paid More to List Patients as COVID-19 and Three Times as Much if the Patient Goes on Ventilator
SW: UK hunger crisis: 1.5m people go whole day without food
ZH: British Suicide Rate Soars To Record High
ZH: Whistleblower: How CDC Is Manipulating The COVID-19 Death-Toll

Thursday, February 6, 2020

Is China Lying About the Numbers Infected with the Wuhan Coronavirus?

A message written in the snow alongside the Tonghui river reads "Goodbye Li Wenliang!"
On February 1, China's social medium Tencent momentarily reported that there were 154 thousand Novel Corona Virus infections in China and 25 thousand related deaths, or about ten times the official Chinese Government numbers.

Vox Popoli questioned the high mortality on the ground that if the Chinese mortality rate were 16% one would have expected a comparable rate outside of China, which is not the case. This evoked some illuminating reader comments, including the following:

10. The real Chinese death rate is the death rate with no medical care, in unheated buildings, in winter. The Western death rate is what you get with basic life support and central heating. 16% versus 2% might be plausible.

24. The high death toll might be accounted for because it's been designed (nature or otherwise) to kill Asian men.

25. You can see the real infection rate more accurately reflected in the number of infected among evacuees: Belgium, 1/9; Japan, 3/200; South Korea, 11/368. These numbers are statistically impossible with the reported infection rates.

58. They wouldn’t have quarantined 50 million plus people, have crematoriums working 24/7, be spraying the streets, be frantically building “hospitals”, limiting testing kits, etc., if the real numbers of infected and dead were the official figures.
But apparently you would be at less risk of contracting the novel Corona virus in Wuhan, China than on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. Thus far, 61 of the 3700 people on board the Diamond Princess have been diagnosed with the virus for an infection rate of 2%* versus a reported rate of only 0.008% in the Wuhan quarantine zone.

Another anomaly in the reported infection rates is the difference between the rate for foreign nationals in China and Chinese nationals. China has reported 19 infections among foreign nationals in China, which out of a population of 50,000 foreign nationals in China, means an infection rate of 0.00038%. Applied to the population of Chinese nationals, that rate of infection would equate to a total of 530,000 infections.

Even if the population of foreign nationals in China is ten times that reported, an equivalent infection rate among Chinese nationals would be over fifty thousand, which is almost twice the rate China is currently reporting.

However, if the number of foreign nationals in China totals a million or so, then the infection rate among foreign nationals would confirm the validity of the numbers reported by the Chinese Government.

___

* The number infected with the Wuhan bat flu on the Diamond Princess has now doubled to 136, for an infectrion rate of 4%.

Related:
Zero Hedge: In Shocking Admission, WHO Advisor Says Coronavirus May Infect Over 5 Billion People
BiorXiv: Uncanny similarity of unique inserts in the 2019-nCoV spike protein to HIV-1 gp120 and Gag
Metallicman: Was the 2020 Wuhan Coronavirus an engineered biological attack on China by America for geopolitical advantage?
Zero Hedge: Sudden Militarization Of Wuhan's P4 Lab Raises New Questions About The Origin Of The Deadly Covid-19 Virus
Harvard to the Big House: Logistical and Technical Exploration into the Origins of the Wuhan Strain of Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)
James Lyons-Weiler: On the Origins of the 2019-nCoV Virus, Wuhan, China
Vox: How deadly pathogens have escaped the lab — over and over again
Zero Hedge: China Reports Huge Jump In New Coronavirus Infections And Deaths
Zero Hedge: Ward off the Corona Virus: Drink Cow's Pee
If this virus gets to India, the death toll may be higher than in China
Zero Hedge: Corona virus comes to Londonistan
Bloomberg: Corona virus, which may infect half a million in Wuhan, is not very deadly
The Lancet: Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China
Taiwan News: Rise in sulfur dioxide could be sign of mass cremations in Wuhan
Epoch Times: Coronavirus Live Updates: Infected Patients Jumps to 130 on Cruise Ship in Japan
Zero Hedge: "The Death Rate Is Up To 5%": Wuhan Doctor
Gnews.org: Novel coronavirus: Beijing officially declares lockdown

Event 21, Sponsored by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, October 2019:


Zero Hedge: Exiled Chinese Billionaire Claims 1.5 Million Infected With Coronavirus, 50,000 Dead
FP: Coronavirus: the cost of China’s public health cover-up
Zero Hedge: Canadian Scientist At Center Of Chinese Bio-Espionage Probe Found Dead In Africa?
Daily Mail: Eighty-six people die of coronavirus in a DAY in China as Beijing begins mass arrest of sufferers and videos shows hazmat suit-clad goons dragging people from their homes as the death toll hits 724
CBC: What if China fails to contain the coronavirus outbreak?
Zero Hedge: Up To 30% Of Medical Staff Working In Wuhan Hospital Now Infected With nCoV
Zero Hedge: Virus Deaths Jump To 724; 190K Under Observation; New Cases Turn Higher
Washington Times: Virus-hit Wuhan has two laboratories linked to Chinese bio-warfare program
ZeroHedge: White House Asks Scientists To Investigate Whether 2019-nCoV Was Bio-Engineered
Zero Hedge: 400 Million People Are On Lockdown In China As Guangzhou Joins Quarantine

Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Is the Wuhan Coronavirus Uncontained?

Based on Government of China reports, Coronavirus infections in China had reached a total more than four thousand on January 27, having increased at a daily rate of 53% over the previous 11 days.

By January 2, according to government report, the number of infections in China had reached over fourteen thousand, many fewer than the fifty-four thousand that would have resulted had growth in the infection rate continued at 53% a day. Thus, it would appear that control measures adopted in China are limiting the spread of the disease.

But on February 1, China's Tencent briefly reported 154,023 infections, more than ten times the officially reported total, before revising the number to the official count.

So is the coronavirus epidemic in China being contained, or is it raging out of control with an infection rate now doubling every 24 hours?

To that question, the answer should soon be clear. With a doubling time of 24 hours, infections will exceed one million within a week, 128 million in two weeks and more than the entire population of China in less than three weeks.

Let's hope that the Government of China's statistics are correct.