Is the Wuhan Coronavirus Uncontained?

Based on Government of China reports, Coronavirus infections in China had reached a total more than four thousand on January 27, having increased at a daily rate of 53% over the previous 11 days.

By January 2, according to government report, the number of infections in China had reached over fourteen thousand, many fewer than the fifty-four thousand that would have resulted had growth in the infection rate continued at 53% a day. Thus, it would appear that control measures adopted in China are limiting the spread of the disease.

But on February 1, China's Tencent briefly reported 154,023 infections, more than ten times the officially reported total, before revising the number to the official count.

So is the coronavirus epidemic in China being contained, or is it raging out of control with an infection rate now doubling every 24 hours?

To that question, the answer should soon be clear. With a doubling time of 24 hours, infections will exceed one million within a week, 128 million in two weeks and more than the entire population of China in less than three weeks.

Let's hope that the Government of China's statistics are correct.