| Our simulations are in agreement with other studies that the current [Covid19] epidemic wave in the UK and Italy in the absence of interventions should have an approximate duration of 2-3 months, with numbers of deaths lagging behind in time relative to overall infections. Lorenco, J. et al. March 26, 2020. |
The paper was posted at MedArchive on March 26, 2020. Therefore, the prediction that the disease in the UK would transition from epidemic to endemic within 2-3 months can be evaluated by the published data.
What the data show is that Covid deaths in the UK peaked on April 20 at 1,172 and fell by 96% to 43 by June 20, i.e., three months later. Thereafter, the rate of Covid deaths in the UK has remained low and stable with a count of 24 recorded on September 24.
So, in its most important assertion, the paper was exactly correct: the epidemic wave of Covid19 that killed thousands in Britain earlier in the year is now over. Covid19 cases are still occurring in Britain, although with what frequency is unclear, but Covid-related deaths are now substantially fewer than those caused by the seasonal flu.
Why then would the British Government introduce new lock-down measures that interrupt the education of both school children and university students, while causing massive economic costs?
Is the answer precisely to conceal the fact that the widely touted second wave is an illusion based on dodgy or totally useless methods of assessing new infections?
With a new lock-down even more severe than the last, the ending of the Covid epidemic, which has yet to register in the minds of most citizens, overwhelmed as they are by the mass media Covid terror campaign, will be attributed to an all-wise government, rather than to the natural progression of the disease.
That naturally raises the question, why?
Why would the government of the UK along with governments in many other Western countries deliberately trash their own economies on the basis of a false alarm?
Suggestions invited.
Related:
Michael Hudson:
How an “Act of God” Pandemic is Destroying the West
Daily Mail:
Dentists see an explosion in patients suffering from tooth decay and gum disease after wearing face coverings
This is a bit off topic, but I have begun to think the Presidential election is going to be gamed. It isn't just the democrats who are going to be gaming it, either. The republican establishment wants Trump out, too.
ReplyDeleteIt is going to be easy to game. It is being orchestrated to be easy to game. I'm voting "absentee" and so are many, many others. No dimpled chad to pretend voter intent was ambiguous. A process so opaque as to render such tactics unnecessary.
"Why would the government of the UK along with governments in many other Western countries deliberately trash their own economies on the basis of a false alarm?
The economies of the Western countries are not their own economies any longer, if this is the global elite we are talkbing about. The globalist globalized global economy is their own economy. They haven't cared about us in a long, long time, if ever. We were just a means to their ends, and now they have the idea they have other, and better, means to their future ends.
Trump, Brexit, and other such stirrings triggered their desire to make haste.
I think this has become very clear and we're in the end game now. It is a moment of great danger for them, but also of great opportunity...The whole enchilada down their own gullets, just what they always wanted.
"It is a moment of great danger for them, but also of great opportunity."
DeleteNYT Writer Says 2nd Civil War Is COMING Unless Trump Wins In A Landslide
As bizarre or unlikely as that second civil war may seem, I have personal experiences indicating it is not. I know people living in Oregon who speak of seceding from the rest of the US, buying guns "to defend their families", and of a general threatening vibe they get from Americans who do not share their political views. (I worry about continuing contact with such people because I do not share their political views. I would like to continue listening to them because I would like to be able to characterize their ideas...So far I cannot find a cohering thread other than hating Trump.)
DeleteTo reply to Yusef, all the guns in individual homes proved their worth when the COVID lockdown was applied lightly to rural areas in the USA that had high rates of gun ownership. However, I think the globalists will come after these people eventually so its getting them only a few years.
ReplyDeleteAny American election can be stolen as along as both the state Republican and Democratic parties cooperate. Votes in American elections are counted by boards appointed by state Democratic and Repubilcan parties. That is why both turnout is low in American elections and there are almost no votes for parties other than the Democratic and Republican parties. State Democratic and Republican parties often will cooperate against mavericks who manage to win a major party nomination. I suspect the script called for impeaching and removing Trump earlier this year but the GOP pulled out of the deal at the last minute.
The people in Oregon I was talking about are urban. They are Portlandia hipster types who supposedly eschew gun ownership and violence. This overt change in their attitude is precisely what makes me fear a civil war.
DeleteRecruitment into this civil war is going to be voluntary. Both sides are going to take it to the streets because they want to take it to the streets. Both sides are convinced the other side is their true enemy and responsible for their pains and problems.
Even though, now as always, the Portlandia hipsters talk of how open they are to the other side, how well they listen, how tolerant they are, open, friendly and on and on.
It is their current talk of how threatened they feel, how they feel they are about to be offensively attacked, and MUST, under these circumstances, be able to defend themselves. For their very survival. In my opinion, their perceptions have been subtly manipulated in a most malevolent way. For their part, they would insist on their refined sensitivity and ability to think critically. It would be the end of my relationship with them if I even brought up the notion of their indoctrination. They're sensitive, alright-- to any criticism of THEM.
See this latest post by Craig Murray on the Assange trial, and the comment by "writeon" at 12:49 PM on October 5th (comment probably posted in the UK, hence the time). The protests against the Iraq war spooked the establishment and they then decided that this "democracy" thing had to go.
ReplyDeleteThanks, I will check that out. Amazing how almost everything is blocked out of view. Visibility is zero. I think of Assange now and then but if you hadn't mentioned him just now, I would have entirely forgotten he's currently on trial.
Delete