Following that chart, there is an interview with Dr. Sunetra Gupta, Oxford University epidemiologist who argues that lockdown does not resolve the problem that Covid presents, which must eventually be faced, and means accepting an “endemic equilibrium such as we enjoy with influenza …”, which she says, should be achieved by allowing the virus to circulate while protecting the vulnerable.
In effect, Professor Gupta is saying that herd immunity is the end game, and as she has argued in various publications, herd immunity may already have been reached in parts of Britain where serological surveys indicate up to 20% of the population have Covid antibodies, while up to 60% may have T-Cell immunity from infection by virtue of exposure to other corona viruses.
Herd immunity may also have been achieved in the US. In late June CDC Director, Dr. Robert Redfield, stated that US Covid cases may be ten times the number reported. Currently, the number of reported cases is 7.3 million. If that is a 90% under-report, then the actual number of cases is equal to 21% of the US population. Add in the 60% of the population that may have T-cell immunity to Covid infection due to prior exposure to other corona viruses and you have the numbers for herd immunity. What that means is that the rate of infections in the future will stabilize around the present number, though with seasonal variation, as with other viruses.
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