Showing posts with label life quality index. Show all posts
Showing posts with label life quality index. Show all posts

Monday, March 30, 2020

Putting the human cost of the new Corona virus, Corvid-19, in perspective

In considering lives lost due to the corona virus, it would be worthwhile to calculate a Loss of Expected Lifetime (LEL) whereby the number of deaths is multiplied by a factor equal to (E - D)/E, where E is life expectancy at birth, D is mean age at death. Due to the great age of most of those killed by the virus, this would reduce the headline number concerning the impact of the virus by a factor of perhaps ten or twenty.

Furthermore, one might adjust LEL by an age-dependent life quality index (LQI), with a value of 1 at birth and 0.01 at age 100. This would likely deflate the headline loss numbers by a further factor of ten or thereabouts.

Overall, such calculations would reduce the apparent devastation of, say, one million Covid-19 deaths to something like 10,000 LQI-adjusted LELs, which not only seems less appalling, but is more accurately reflective of the human cost.

Related:
Piers Robinson: Is the Corona Virus a new 9/11, a new deep event?
Luis Miguel: How to Fight Coronavirus (Without Causing a Global Depression)
Gateway Pundit: EU Total Deaths Per Week for All 24 Reporting Countries Combined is LOWER than the Normal Weekly Rate in EVERY Age Group
John P. Ioannidis: A fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data
James Corbett: The Greatest Depression