Wednesday, February 17, 2021

mRNA Vaccines: Five Questions

1. DID YOU KNOW THAT WE HAVE NEVER SUCCESSFULLY VACCINATED AGAINST ANY CORONAVIRUS?

2. DID YOU KNOW IT USUALLY TAKES 5-10 YEARS TO FULLY DEVELOP A VACCINE?

3. DID YOU KNOW THAT THE COVID “VACCINE” IS BASED ON NEW TECHNOLOGY, WHICH HAS NEVER BEEN APPROVED FOR USE ON HUMANS BEFORE?

4. DID YOU KNOW THAT THE PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANIES CAN’T BE SUED IF THE VACCINE HURTS OR KILLS SOMEONE?

5. DID YOU KNOW 99.8% OF PEOPLE SURVIVE COVID19?


6. ONE OTHER QUESTION YOU MIGHT THINK ABOUT IS:

DID YOU KNOW YOUR RISK OF DEATH FROM COVID-19 IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON YOR AGE? IN PARTICULAR, FOR THOSE UNDER 30, THE RISK IS ONE IN THOUSANDS, FOR THOSE UNDER 50, THE RISK STILL AVERAGES ONE IN THOUSANDS. ONLY FOR THE OVER 60'S DOES THE RISK EXCEED ONE PERCENT.

Governmental sources are remarkable cagey about providing clear information on this vital fact. Why? Surely, so the public does not challenge the lunacy of shutting schools and businesses.

For greater clarity on the age effect, here are statistics from the Province of Ontario Canada showing the estimated Province-wide Covid-19 infection fatality rate by age until May 19, 2020. 

What the data show is that:

Among children nine years of age or younger the estimated risk of death from Covid-19 is 0.002%, or one in  50,000.

For other age groups the estimated Infection Fatality Rates (IFR) are:

Age         IFR (%)     IFR (Proportion)

10-19    0.007           1 in 14,000
20-29    0.031           1 in   3,226 
30-39    0.084           1 in   1,190
40-49    0.161           1 in      621
50-59    0.595           1 in      168
60-69    1.93             1 in        52
70-79    4.28             1 in        23
80+       7.80             1 in        13

But those numbers are based on reported cases, which totaled only 0.25% of the population. The actual number of cases will certainly have been greater than the number of reported cases and probably many times greater. Moreover, it is reasonable to suppose that cases proving fatal were more likely to have come to the attention of the Medical authorities than non-fatal cases. It is certain, therefore, that the actual infection fatality rates were lower, and probably much lower, than those indicated above. 

7. SO ONE MORE QUESTION: DO YOU REALLY THINK IT MAKE SENSE TO YOU THAT YOUR GOVERNMENT TRASHED THE ECONOMY -- CAUSING THE CLOSURE OF ONE IN FIVE CANADIAN BUSINESSES, DEBAUCHED THE CURRENCY, DISRUPTED EDUCATION, AND NOW IS DETERMINED TO JAB YOU WITH AN UNTESTED VACCINE FOR NO REASON OTHER THAN A  TEMPORARY BUMP IN THE RISK OF DEATH WHICH, FOR THOSE UNDER 50, IS SLIGHT TO NEGLIGIBLE?

9 comments:

  1. Did you know they are now advising people social distancing and masking will continue, even after vaccination? People were motivated to vaccinate to get past that crap and get back to their lives, but no.

    Reminds me how Osama Bin Laden was the reason to invade Afghanistan, but then even if we found him we'd continue there, and when he died...Hey! We're continuing there.

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    1. Look, you can't compare the war in Afghanistan with the response to Covid. The war to punish Afghanistan for, well nothing really, cost less than a trillion dollars and killed only about 35,000 people -- not counting ragheads, that is.

      Heck, I bet with Covid folks with the right connections have made more than a $trillion just off dodgy deals supplying face masks (everybody to wear two or three at a time), and that must be a piffling amount relative to the cost of imploding the Western economies and jabbing everyone on the face of the planet with a vaccine having unknown long-term effectiveness and adverse consequences.

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  2. I went over to WhatReallyHappened from your blogroll because I hadn't been there before.

    I happened on a video piece from Nomad Capitalist, "Go Where You are Treated Best".

    That'd mean getting out of Alaska, because except for being my home and containing everything I love, it is a shitty place. I actually feel threatened by the government and know if I ever ran afoul, however innocently, I'd never get a fair shake.

    What struck me most was the narrator's comment about how there are many places in the world which were "third world" twenty or thirty years ago, but now offer more than in the US.

    It is true. And "if present trends continue" the US is destined to become "fourth world", very soon.

    The Covid nightmare in which we live is unprecedented in human history, no doubt about it. (As it is global, this nightmare trims and modifies Nomad Capitalist's views about other, better, places where you are undeniably treated better than in the US--for now.)

    The global elites had to weaken the US to take us from where we were to where we are now. That's all I meant by speaking of Afghanistan. The point is over the last twenty to thirty years they've told us one thing and though probably very few believed what they told us, "it worked." As well you know. I guess I am getting this off my chest and thanks for that opportunity.

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    1. The sense that everything's going to Hell is widespread (see "Is A Revolutionary Movement Developing In Europe?"). And with a senile US President and a Vice President with negligible public support, the time seems ripe for an end to America's global hegemony and a transformation of America's own form of government. Could the union disintegrate? Will there be a massive transfer of power from the Federal Government to the States. Americans seem mostly pretty punch-drunk but its hard to see them taking much more "Black Lives Matter," fake elections and leaders such as Hillary, Biden and Trump. Question is, does America have another Jimmy Carter to restore decency and intelligence to high public office.

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    2. We have a great number of people of Carter's caliber. That's not the problem, though.

      The problem is America is now a totalitarian state. The "selection" cycle has been bankrupt for decades, maybe a century. It is true it became more and more bankrupt as time went on. It is also true, as you've noted, a lot of the earlier feelings of decency and intelligence in high public office were generated more by acceptance of mass media's narratives than by the actual reality of what was going on.

      I've never had the slightest doubts about Carter's personal decency and intelligence. Nevertheless, it was during the Carter administration I began to understand the prez was not the head of state. Zbigniew Brzezinski, Carter's National Security Advisor, was more powerful. (I perhaps noted this, having paid attention during Nixon's first term to the primary role of his National Security Advisor, Henry Kissinger, in developing and implementing foreign policy. This truly was unprecedented in US history.)

      Carter also had the significant ties to the Trilateral Commission and other such organizations. The far Right so-called "nut jobs" screamed about it, got discredited, and now no one talks about it.

      Note Zbigniew Brzezinski's staggeringly important role in the political success of one Barack Obama.

      It probably doesn't matter what Americans will find it hard to take at this point in time. If they don't want to go along, and want to grumble, let them grumble. It will all be monitored and controlled in real time, so if anything gets going, begins to spark unrest, it can be crushed immediately. Brutally. As we'll see. As we'll see a la China, our now-confirmed role model.

      I wish the Black Lives Matter people would note the direction we're heading and take a clue how they'll fare when we get there. China is right now, at this very moment, viciously suppressing dissenting minorities, and it is known to be doing so. (But what is Black Lives Matter but a tool? The followers of the tool would find it anathema to seriously discuss either China or China's treatment of minorities. They've been mind-conditioned carefully. In one of the debates with Biden, to his credit Trump clearly stated and reminded the nation of the Demorat's objections to his travel bans from China on the basis of this as racist. See how it works? Biden didn't answer any of this, but looked down, smiling sarcastically, and letting it pass. Then he could rely on the mass media to portray Trump in those debates as a puerile psychopath and the clear loser. Portrayed such to those who do not listen well, or don't bother at all, which is a multitude.)

      It is one thing to find something hard to take and another to actually develop a way to not take it. We've failed on the latter. What we do now reminds me very much of Hercules in his Nemean lion's coat. That's what killed me about the people attempting to call attention to the election fraud by going to the Capitol in January. I know some of the people who did so. They were good people and meant the best for the country. This further struggling caused the coat to tighten and further stifle future efforts.

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    3. Good to be reminded of Jimmy Carter's politics. He spoke with such obsessive attention to a mass of details that it was difficult to grasp what he was saying. And, at the time, names like Zbig Brzez and the Trilateral Commission meant nothing to me. Thus I have only the recollection of someone of unusual earnestness and apparent intelligence. But even viewing his politics from my present perspective, I see him as an honorable man, whereas even those who advocate what I support seem, for the most part, people of very questionable morals.

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  3. US life expectancy drops a year in pandemic, most since WWII:

    https://www.adn.com/nation-world/2021/02/18/us-life-expectancy-drops-a-year-in-pandemic-most-since-wwii/

    From the Associated Press.

    If you read between the lines, a different story may be hinted at:

    "Other health experts say it shows the profound impact of COVID-19, not just on deaths directly due to infection but also from heart disease, cancer and other conditions."

    We may eventually disentangle deaths from the Covid-19 virus from deaths due to neglect of other dangerous health conditions and find the Covid-19 deaths not due to mishandling of Covid-19 infections to be a relatively small number.

    "This is the first time the CDC has reported on life expectancy from early, partial records; more death certificates from that period may yet come in."

    It also might be complete records will reveal a more complete picture of what happened.

    There are, according to the CDC provisional death counts, 135% counted deaths versus expected deaths for 2020. That is a huge number. If those extra deaths are due to Covid19, I've been relying on misinformation and am also guilty of passing on misinformation.

    “ 'We have been devastated by the coronavirus more so than any other country. We are 4% of the world’s population, more than 20% of the world’s coronavirus deaths,” he [Dr.Otis Brawley, a cancer specialist and public health professor at Johns Hopkins University] said.' "

    That means the data in this table is a lie.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/1104709/coronavirus-deaths-worldwide-per-million-inhabitants/

    But, without doing the calculations, the only way I imagine getting a percentage death near Brawley's number is to make ALL US deaths in 2020 be Covid-19 corona virus deaths while leaving other nations' death counts as reported as Covid-19 only. (I should do the math, but maybe someone out there can help me. In any case, it is going to matter what data I'm using compared to what Brawley is using, which isn't cited. Oh yeah, he's a professor at Johns Hopkins. That's all we need to know.)


    "Not enough use of masks, early reliance on drugs such as hydroxychloroquine, 'which turned out to be worthless,' and other missteps meant many Americans died needlessly, Brawley said."

    Early reliance on hydroxychloroquine? I heard the drug mentioned but never by officials (the government or its spokespersons, as reported in mass media), never in an accepted mainstream venue. What I heard was ventilators and so on were used and proved "worthless"...That was what was officially approved and widespread in the medical community...Right? Can I possibly be wrong about that. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. I want to know. If I am right, then the bias of Brawley and his motive of shifting any blame onto fringe kookernutters of the internet becomes clear.

    This stuff does shake my confidence. 2020 was undoubtedly a year of utter devastation. We can sit here and blame the devastating response to the virus rather than the virus itself, but if we're using rotten data and information, we're fools.

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  4. "There are, according to the CDC provisional death counts, 135% counted deaths versus expected deaths for 2020. That is a huge number. If those extra deaths are due to Covid19, I've been relying on misinformation and am also guilty of passing on misinformation."

    In wealthy countries large numbers of frail elderly people can stay alive for a long time -- unless, that is, they experience something like Covid, which is what many of them did experience in Britain, Canada, and the US.

    In all those countries hospital patients with Covid were forced into care homes where the frailest of the frail were concentrated, so inevitably, there was a mass die-off among the elderly.

    Seventy-two percent of Canada's Covid deaths to date have been in care homes. We had about one Covid death in our town (Pop. 400K) until the bug got into the care homes, then the number went straight to double digits.

    Looking at European data one sees that among children aged 0 to 14, excess deaths were negative one hundred and something, which is good news.

    Among 15 to 44 year-olds, there were around 4K excess deaths, which is certainly a sad loss.

    Between 45 and 64 there was an additional loss of 30K, which is also much to be regretted.

    But the big deal is among the over 74s with 276 thousand excess deaths. That also seems somewhat sad to me, if only because it could have included me. But it's not as sad as would have seemed on my deathbed if I'd died at, say, 21.

    Overall, it's been estimated that worldwide over 20 million life years have been lost due to Covid. I question this, however.

    How were life years lost estimated? I would guess that they took the age of a person dead from Covid and subtracted it from the life expectancy of a person of that age. But if they did that, the calculation is invalid because a person dying of Covid is not representative of the population as a whole and therefore cannot be assumed to have the same life expectancy.

    In general, I would bet that most of those under 75 who died of Covid had other conditions that would have reduced their life expectancy to something less than that of the population mean. obesity and diabetes, for example, which are prevalent in the US, UK, Belgium and other countries with high Covid death rates not only predispose to mortality from Covid but to early death from other causes. Therefore, I would bet that a more detailed analysis would show that life years lost to Covid are rather few.

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    1. Thanks for this, CS.

      I still have to think about it.

      The Associated Press author didn't attempt to present the data and then from the data extract conclusions about the U.S.'s ranking in terms of corona deaths. She went to an "expert" (and why this one?) and quoted his conclusions.

      Brawley, this "expert" gives us some quotes which may-- or may not--scramble the truth.

      For one thing, his basic assumption seems to be, in my opinion, if we have 4% of the world's population, and the world and our society were in good working order, we would have 4% of the covid-related deaths. Instead we have 20%, or 5X what we "should" have.

      I have been quoting the table of deaths per million per nation to make comparison's of the US response with that of other nations. (Mainly to defend poor old Trump from the charge he's been responsible for all the deaths.) Thus Belgium, Italy, and some of the other advanced industrial nations with significant elderly populations fared significantly worse than the US. Over the first 25 to 50 nations I looked at, the US number appears close to average. (Nations with comparatively younger populations seem to fare better, even if more poor. I haven't thought this through, either, for I keep hearing the claim American blacks were more vulnerable due to poor living conditions.)

      Belgium has a population of 11.5 million. The US has a population of roughly 350 million. If you count total numbers of deaths heedless of the difference in population size, obviously the US will have a higher total death count despite having a death per capita approximately 30-40% lower. There's no good reason for the "expert" to have submerged this important facet in what he said to the press.

      Yet I am still very troubled.

      I watched the CDC numbers carefully until about August or so. The total US figure of deaths to expected deaths was around 110% at that time.

      I was disgusted with the whole thing then, especially because what I thought was happening was the "case" number was exploding while the death count was near zero. I also felt the real damage of the covid response had been inflicted, beyond remedy, despite the "numbers", already.

      Yet it must be the deaths exploded between then and the end of the year. There was a second wave after all. What do you make of this?

      Also, the forcing of the hospitalized elderly into nursing homes, such as I heard of it, happened early on. The deaths resulting from that would have been seen much earlier. (And tabulated much earlier? I would think so, but here I encounter one of my own bland assumptions.)

      There's quite a bit more I'm scratching my head about. Why is this reported to us as a decline in life expectancy? The US didn't have the highest life expectancy in the world. In fact, the US had a fairly poor life expectancy when ranked along other advanced industrialized nations (or some supposedly not so advanced.) That probably means the US health care system is of lower quality. I've believed it caters to the wealthier at the expense of the quality and kind of care given the poorer or just more average citizens, a fault suddenly exposed in the light of a major public health care crisis. It isn't set up for that. That's precisely what it is not set up to handle. Of course this knowledge of what's at root is going to be guarded by the "system" by fobbing off blame onto internet kooks and others....But I haven't thought this through.

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